CanaryObservatory
Environment · Instrument dossier

Severe Weather

Active watches, warnings and advisories issued by the US National Weather Service, with the source's own severity, urgency and affected areas. Escalating alert volumes can indicate a major weather system affecting people, transport and power infrastructure.

Current reading

406 active weather alerts at the latest collection. Not enough data yet for a historical comparison.

Reading time:

United States and territories only. This is not a global weather monitor.

Collector availability
Live
Collection freshness
Last successful collection .

Historical comparison

Severe Weather at each collection · breaks = gaps (not interpolated) · expected range appears once 5 earlier days exist at each hour

Interpretation

Not enough data yet. The available history cannot establish whether this reading is typical or unusual.

What movement could mean
  • A large storm system
  • Heat, flood or winter weather events

Descriptive only. No predictive validity for non-weather events has been tested. Source-reported severity, statistical deviation and real-world risk are different questions. This reading does not independently support a hypothesis about intent or cause.

Evidence and limitations

Cadence and latency
Collection is scheduled every 30 minutes. Collection cadence is not source latency; no measured end-to-end latency is provided here. Source publication and revisions can delay what is visible.
Known false-positive patterns
  • Routine seasonal advisories
  • Many small zones covered by one weather system
Coverage and blind spots
  • US coverage only.
  • Alert counts have strong seasonal and time-of-day patterns.
  • Source severity is not the same as a statistical anomaly or a risk judgment.
Technical detail
Measurement definition
Each observation is one NWS alert. At every collection the observatory also records how many alerts are active, building a history from which a baseline can later be estimated.
Raw metric
active_alerts
Method
Alerts are upserted by their NWS identifier. Severity is copied exactly as NWS classifies it (Extreme, Severe, Moderate, Minor, Unknown). Map points are polygon centroids, marked as approximate; alerts without geometry are not mapped.
Stored observations
807

Normal versus unusual

A baseline cannot yet be established. The observatory needs more history before it can say what "normal" looks like for this signal, so no anomaly score is shown.

4 historical samples so far · Snapshot count vs. historical snapshots

Source severity

The label the publishing agency assigns (e.g. NWS 'Severe'). Shown verbatim.

Statistical anomaly

How far today's value sits from this signal's own history. Says nothing about consequences.

Real-world risk

A judgment the observatory does not make. Consult official sources for safety decisions.

Observations in range

Recent collection runs

  • · running · 0 stored
  • · success · 406 stored
  • · success · 406 stored
  • · success · 407 stored
  • · success · 406 stored
  • · success · 410 stored
  • · success · 402 stored
  • · success · 405 stored
  • · failed · 0 stored · Interrupted before finishing (no result recorded)
  • · success · 404 stored
  • · success · 402 stored
  • · success · 398 stored

How this works

We read every active alert from the US National Weather Service every 30 minutes. Severity (Extreme, Severe, Moderate, Minor) is copied exactly as NWS states it; we never re-grade it.

The number we watch is how many alerts are active at each collection. "Normal" is the count at the same hour of the day on earlier days (at least 5 such hours), because storms and warnings follow a daily cycle.

Limits: US only. Busy storm seasons push counts up for weeks, which this comparison does not yet adjust for. Map dots are the middle of each alert's area, not a storm's position.

FAQ

Is an "Extreme" alert an anomaly?
Not by itself. Severity is NWS's judgement of one alert. Our anomaly reading is about the number of alerts compared with normal — a separate question.
Why only the US?
NWS publishes a clean, free, machine-readable feed. Other countries' services vary and aren't connected yet.